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The RMB exchange rate is expected to appreciate again at the end of the year. The research team of the Financial Market Department of Agricultural Bank of China said that the market transactions have shown obvious narrative-driven characteristics in recent years. Considering some recent changes, the RMB exchange rate is expected to stabilize and rebound again in the future. First, the pricing of Trump transactions in the international market has come to an end. Second, there has been a major shift in domestic macro policies. Since late September, financial policies such as lowering the RRR, cutting interest rates, supporting the stock market and the real estate market, and fiscal debt measures have boosted market confidence. Third, there has been a favorable change in supply and demand in the domestic foreign exchange market. The end of the year is the traditional peak season for enterprises to settle foreign exchange, and the continuous forward discount will lead to the backlog of foreign exchange settlement, which will further amplify the demand for foreign exchange settlement at the end of the year. Further considering the overall situation of the game between China and the United States, Trump's return not only means the enhancement of external shocks, but also the upgrading of internal policies. The RMB exchange rate will maintain two-way fluctuations next year, and it is no longer a steady profit for enterprises to hold US dollars and postpone foreign exchange settlement. While stabilizing domestic foreign trade and foreign investment, continuing to expand high-level opening-up and expanding domestic demand in an all-round way implies the certainty of economic stabilization and recovery, which is expected to promote the return of short-term securities investment and medium-and long-term direct investment and help the RMB stop falling and rebound.The Syrian Sharm el-Liberation Organization said that it would disband the Syrian government security forces. On December 11th, Giulani, leader of the Syrian Sharm el-Liberation Organization, said in a statement to Reuters that he would disband the Syrian government security forces and close the prison.London Metal Exchange (LME): aluminum stocks decreased by 2,500 tons, copper stocks decreased by 75 tons, nickel stocks decreased by 2,862 tons, lead stocks decreased by 2,250 tons, tin stocks were flat, and zinc stocks decreased by 1,300 tons.

Poly Development: Poly Group increased its holdings by 261 million yuan. According to the announcement of Poly Development, the actual controller of the company, Poly Group, has completed the plan to increase its holdings, and accumulated 27,980,100 A shares, accounting for 0.23% of the total share capital, with an increase of 261 million yuan. This increase plan will last for 12 months from December 12, 2023, and the increase amount will be no less than 250 million yuan and no more than 500 million yuan. After the completion of the increase, Poly Group directly holds about 3.03% of the company's shares, and the total shareholding ratio with its wholly-owned subsidiaries is 40.72%. The increase in holdings is in compliance with relevant laws and regulations, and Poly Group promises not to reduce its holdings within the statutory time limit.IEA Monthly Report: The decision of OPEC+has reduced the potential oversupply. The International Energy Agency (IEA) said today that the recent decision of OPEC+member countries to postpone the planned production increase has "greatly reduced" the potential oversupply next year. Nevertheless, IEA said that in view of the persistent overproduction in some OPEC+member countries, strong supply growth outside the alliance and moderate global oil demand growth, there may still be a serious oversupply in the oil market in 2025. IEA predicts that even if all OPEC+production reduction plans remain unchanged, supply will exceed demand by about 950,000 barrels per day next year. IEA said that if OPEC members start increasing production in April as planned, the oversupply will increase to 1.4 million barrels per day.The national carbon market closed down 1.29% to 99.90 yuan/ton today. The comprehensive price of the national carbon market today is: the opening price is 101.15 yuan/ton, the highest price is 101.29 yuan/ton, the lowest price is 99.88 yuan/ton, and the closing price is 99.90 yuan/ton, which is 1.29% lower than the previous day. Today, the transaction volume of the listing agreement is 664,139 tons, with a turnover of 66,059,732.39 yuan; The volume of bulk agreement transactions was 8,504,320 tons, with a turnover of 841,280,251.88 yuan.

The national carbon market closed down 1.29% to 99.90 yuan/ton today. The comprehensive price of the national carbon market today is: the opening price is 101.15 yuan/ton, the highest price is 101.29 yuan/ton, the lowest price is 99.88 yuan/ton, and the closing price is 99.90 yuan/ton, which is 1.29% lower than the previous day. Today, the transaction volume of the listing agreement is 664,139 tons, with a turnover of 66,059,732.39 yuan; The volume of bulk agreement transactions was 8,504,320 tons, with a turnover of 841,280,251.88 yuan.Li Ka-shing's H-share shareholding in China Postal Savings Bank decreased from 5.07% to 4.96%.European Commission President: Romania and Bulgaria have become full members of the Schengen area. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said on social media that Romania and Bulgaria have become full members of the Schengen area.